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    生猪涨价双汇发展肉制品利润承压囤肉72亿抵御猪价上行风险

    行业要闻 阅读:155 2019-08-14
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    2019年上半年,生猪价格不断上涨,但肉制品终端价波动较小,致使双汇发展肉制品板块原料增速高于收入增速,利润承压。而冷鲜肉终端价格随成本浮动,该板块成本与收入增幅保持同步。综合影响下,上半年双汇发展整体毛利率小幅下滑。

    在原料继续涨价风险下,双汇发展库存储备再度“爆表”,扩大至72.04亿元。“超大规模的冻肉储备能帮助双汇发展抵御相当一段时间的成本浮动风险,同时也体现了双汇发展对未来猪价的预判。”某机构投资者表示。

    原料涨价利润承压

    8月13日晚间,双汇发展发布2019年半年报,作为主要原材料的生猪价格大幅上涨,双汇发展毛利率出现小幅下滑。

    在双汇发展的肉制品与生鲜冻品两大主营产品中,肉制品业务终端价格波动较小,利润空间被原材料涨价挤压较为明显。公告显示,2019年上半年,双汇发展高温肉制品与低温肉制品营业收入分别为76.65亿元与42.38亿元,同比增幅为7.52%与-1.29%,但营业成本增幅更大,分别同比增长11.26%与7.04%,营业成本为55.14亿元与32.55亿元。成本涨价挤压下,高低温肉制品毛利率同比变动幅度为-2.42%与5.97%。

    双汇发展营业成本虽出现上浮,但相较整体生猪市场行情,双汇发展的成本控制力仍可圈可点。Wind资讯显示,2019年上半年,猪价从1月底的11.32元/公斤一路上涨至6月底的17.74元/公斤,涨幅56.71%,同期双汇发展营业成本涨幅仅有10.22%。

    除肉制品业务外,双汇发展的生鲜冻品业务终端价格较为灵活,帮助双汇发展稳定了部分利润。数据显示,2019年上半年,双汇发展生鲜冻品业务营业收入为150.39亿元,营业成本为134.65亿元,分别同比增长7.79%与7.56%,该业务毛利率较上年同期微增0.18%。

    两大业务板块综合之下,双汇发展2019年上半年共实现营业收入254.55亿元,净利润23.82亿元,同比下滑0.16%,期间销售毛利率为19.50%,较上年同期下滑了1.86个百分点,净利率也从10.41%下滑至9.75%。

    囤货72亿抵御猪价上行风险

    为抵御猪价上行风险,双汇发展自2018年低就已经开始加大库存冻肉储备。

    这并不是双汇发展第一次通过储存冻肉的方式低于周期风险。2019年之前,双汇发展为抵御2013年至2014年的猪周期波动,曾将冻肉、肉制品等库存扩大至44.20亿元。

    2018年“非洲猪瘟”爆发后,双汇发展就将存货从2017年底的29.28亿元上调至2018年底的42.28亿元,2019年一季度,在猪价涨幅尚不明显时,双汇发展将库存进一步扩充至52.71亿元。至2019年中,猪价已出现一定幅度上涨,双汇发展再次加仓后,存货已高达破纪录的72.04亿元。

    上述机构投资者表示:“超大规模的冻肉储备能帮助双汇发展抵御相当一段时间的成本浮动风险,就等于提前锁定了未来的原材料成本,这是双汇发展毛利率没有大幅波动的重要因素之一,也是未来业绩的保证,现在生猪期货还没有上市,这也是不得已的办法。同时,破纪录的冻肉储备也从侧面体现了双汇发展对未来猪价走势的预判。”

    双汇发展也在报告中称,“波动幅度比较大,会影响公司主营业务的盈利能力,可能对公司经营业绩的提升产生影响。非洲猪瘟疫情在多个省市出现,生猪及其产品的流通受到影响,企业的生产经营可能会受到一定影响。”

    来源:财联社;作者:王平安;农产品期货网转载本文仅为传播更多信息为目的,并不表示本网认可文中作者观点。若转载文章作者有认为本网有不妥之处,请致电本网010-51289506联系,本网将立即与您磋商并解决相关事宜。

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