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    黑龙江稻米市场周报(0106-0112)

    产业分析 2020-01-14 25 0 0
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    省内市场行情:

    近日,黑龙江省多次出台相关政策解决农民卖粮难问题,随着政策落实推进和托市力度加大,圆粒稻市场行情逐步回升。不过,相比之下长粒稻行情并不乐观,眼下全国各地大中专院校已陆续放假,集中性消费总量下降,终端大米走货不畅雪上加霜。部分米企表示,现阶段各地查超载运输车辆,增加经销商进货成本,同时年底涉及到回货问题,从黑龙江发往南方销区市场车辆难请的问题凸出。受下游需求疲弱影响,今年稻价旺季不旺现象尤为突出,部分地区优质长粒稻进厂价格小幅下调。此外,近日不少贸易商表示,前期收购的新稻扣除水分及杂费后利润微薄,而国储库入库标准严格,贸易商收购积极性明显减弱。

    哈尔滨方正县宝兴新龙米业长粒粳稻收购价2960元/吨,较上周下跌20元/吨;长粒粳米出厂价4920元/吨,与上周持平。五常市乔府大院长粒粳稻收购价3197元/吨,较上周上涨7元/吨;长粒粳米出厂价5128元/吨,与上周持平。

    绥化海伦硒谷米业圆粒粳稻收购价2540元/吨,与上周持平;圆粒粳米出厂价3950元/吨,与上周持平。庆安皓然米业圆粒粳稻收购价2600元/吨,与上周持平;圆粒粳米出厂价4000元/吨,与上周持平。

    齐齐哈尔泰来县双赢米业长粒粳稻收购价3150元/吨,较上周下跌50元/吨;长粒粳米出厂价5040元/吨,较上周下跌10元/吨。富裕县沣裕米业圆粒粳稻收购价2700元/吨,较上周上涨100元/吨;圆粒粳米出厂价4300元/吨,较上周上涨100元/吨。

    佳木斯桦川县付士米业圆粒粳稻进厂价2580元/吨,与上周持平;圆粒粳米出厂价3920元/吨,与上周持平。

    国内市场行情:

    粳稻方面,东北产区稻米市场价格整体平稳,局部地区小幅波动,售粮进度偏慢于往年。1月10日,国家在吉林省启动中晚稻最低收购价执行预案,为市场提供底部支撑。按照以往经验,春节前下游市场将进入备货期,但随着居民生活水平提高,对主食的需求减弱,近年来大米口粮消费量逐年降低,尽管春节日益临近,下游需求并未得到明显改善,下游市场备货并不积极,利空产区稻米行情。苏皖产区自12月中下旬以来,受晚粳稻流通较快的影响,各地粳米受成本增加出现不同幅度上涨,涨幅在40-60元/吨不等,但与东北普通圆粒大米价格相比,仍存在较大差距。江苏产粳米流入东北市场,给当地稻米行情带来冲击。籼稻方面,南方产区米厂开机率较上周小幅降低,市场购销总体平稳。临近年底,米厂多进行扫尾加工,主要供应老客户为主,加上销区市场采购量无明显增加,产区行情上行乏力。

    山东临沂郯城地区粳稻(出米率70%)到厂价2360-2380元/吨,粳米出厂价3400元/吨。

    江苏泰州兴化地区粳稻到厂价2400元/吨,粳米出厂价3200元/吨。南粳9108稻谷到厂价2460元/吨,大米出厂价3480元/吨。

    安徽淮南寿县地区丰两优水稻(出米率67%以上)到厂价2500元/吨,精米出厂价3900元/吨。

    湖北宜昌当阳地区丰两优稻谷(出米率65%以上)到厂价2400元/吨,精米出厂价1.90元/吨。

    江西上饶鄱阳地区普通晚籼稻(出米率67%以上)到厂价2380-2400元/吨,标米出厂价3700元/吨。

    湖南常德澧县地区普通晚籼稻到厂价2400元/吨,精米出厂价4160-4200元/吨。

    销区市场黑龙江粳米行情:

    销区方面,尽管春节临近,下游需求恢复却并不明显,大米走货未见大幅加快,“旺季不旺”特征愈加突出,节日对大米市场拉动作用有限。1月10日,杭州市场黑龙江产标一圆粒粳米批发价4700元/吨,与上周持平。福州市场国标三级东北粳米批发价4580元/吨,与上周持平;北京市场批发价4700元/吨,与上周持平。

    国际行情:

    本周,泰铢持续走强,加上干旱威胁供应,泰国大米出口价格依然高企。截至1月10日,泰国破碎率5%大米FOB报价为425-435美元/吨,与前一周基本持平。本周,越南大米出口价格下跌,破碎率5%大米报价为355美元/吨,较前一周下跌5美元/吨。越南工业及贸易部本周将47家公司加入有资格的的大米出口公司,旨在推进大米出口,确保越南大米竞争力。近日,印度夏播稻米收获上市,市场供应增加,但非洲国家需求疲软,大米出口价格保持稳定。1月10日,蒸谷米(破碎率5%)报价为362-366美元/吨,较前一周上涨1-2美元/吨。

    期货行情:

    1月10日,大连商品交易所粳米期货主力合约2005低开,开盘价3339元,盘终收涨,收盘价3348元;最高3357元,最低3339元,结算价3348元,成交量796手,持仓量8295手。

    后期走势及分析:

    粳稻方面,年关将至,产区加工企业多扫尾供应老客户生产,大部分米企将于小年前后陆续停机放假,加上销区市场需求不旺,预计下周稻米价格将以稳为主,难有较大起伏。籼稻方面,市场粮源相对充足,加工企业采购积极性不高,米厂生产多以销定产,下游走货偏慢,短期内价格上行乏力。

    来源:黑龙江省粮食信息和技术中心;转载本文仅为传播更多信息为目的,并不表示本网认可文中作者观点。若转载文章作者有认为本网有不妥之处,请致电本网010-51289506联系,本网将立即与您磋商并解决相关事宜。

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